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Exponential Growth and Decay Model

MATH161
Reference: Stewart §3.8  •  Chapter: 6  •  Section: 5

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Exponential Growth and Decay Model

Why Does Everything Seem to Grow (or Shrink) Exponentially?

Bacteria doubling every hour. A savings account earning interest. A radioactive sample losing mass. A population of rabbits exploding across a continent. What do these seemingly unrelated phenomena have in common?

They all share a fundamental property: the rate of change is proportional to the current amount. When you have more bacteria, they reproduce faster. When you have more money, you earn more interest. When you have more radioactive atoms, more decay per second.

This simple relationship—"the more you have, the faster it changes"—leads to one of the most important differential equations in science.

Before You Start

Quick Self-Check (click to expand)

Can you answer these questions? If not, review the linked prerequisite first.

  1. Derivative of $e^x$: What is $\frac{d}{dx}[e^{3x}]$?
  1. Logarithm rules: Solve $e^{2t} = 5$ for $t$.

Prerequisite Map

This skill
Exponential Growth and Decay Model

Quick Reference

Property Value
Section §3.8 Exponential Growth and Decay
Difficulty Intermediate
Time ~20 minutes

Key Concepts

The Fundamental Differential Equation

If a quantity $y(t)$ changes at a rate proportional to its current value, then:

$$\boxed{\frac{dy}{dt} = ky}$$

where $k$ is called the proportionality constant or growth/decay constant.

The Solution

The only functions satisfying $\frac{dy}{dt} = ky$ are exponential functions:

$$\boxed{y(t) = y_0 e^{kt}}$$

where $y_0 = y(0)$ is the initial value (the value at time $t = 0$).

Why This Works

Let's verify that $y(t) = y_0 e^{kt}$ actually satisfies $\frac{dy}{dt} = ky$:

$$\frac{dy}{dt} = \frac{d}{dt}\left[y_0 e^{kt}\right] = y_0 \cdot k e^{kt} = k \cdot (y_0 e^{kt}) = ky \quad \checkmark$$

The exponential function is special because its derivative is a constant multiple of itself.

The Relative Growth Rate

The quantity $\frac{dy/dt}{y} = k$ is called the relative growth rate—it tells you the rate of change per unit of the quantity itself.

Example Meaning of $k = 0.03$
Population Growing at 3% per year
Investment Earning 3% interest (continuously compounded)
Radioactive mass Losing 3% per year (if $k = -0.03$)

Visualizing Growth vs Decay

Growth (k > 0):                    Decay (k < 0):
    y                                  y
    |         ___                      |\
    |       _/                         | \___
    |     _/                           |     \___
    |   _/                             |         \___
    |__/                               |             \___
    +---------------→ t               +---------------→ t
    Curve gets steeper               Curve flattens out

Finding k From Two Data Points

The key procedure: Given $y(t_1) = y_1$ and $y(t_2) = y_2$, find $k$.

  1. Write: $y_1 = y_0 e^{kt_1}$ and $y_2 = y_0 e^{kt_2}$
  2. Divide: $\frac{y_2}{y_1} = \frac{y_0 e^{kt_2}}{y_0 e^{kt_1}} = e^{k(t_2 - t_1)}$
  3. Take ln: $\ln\left(\frac{y_2}{y_1}\right) = k(t_2 - t_1)$
  4. Solve: $k = \frac{1}{t_2 - t_1} \ln\left(\frac{y_2}{y_1}\right)$

$$\boxed{k = \frac{\ln(y_2/y_1)}{t_2 - t_1}}$$

Domain and Validity

Condition Requirement Why
$y_0$ Must be positive Exponential functions output positive values only
$y(t)$ Always positive $e^{kt} > 0$ for all $t$
$k$ Can be any real number Positive = growth, negative = decay
$t$ Usually $t \geq 0$ Time typically starts from initial measurement

Common Pitfalls

Mistake Why It's Wrong Correct Approach
Confusing $k$ with percentage $k = 0.03$ means 3% relative rate, but after 1 year it's $e^{0.03} \approx 1.0305$, not exactly 1.03 Use the formula; don't assume $k$ = actual percentage increase
Forgetting $y_0$ in the solution Writing $y(t) = e^{kt}$ Always include initial value: $y(t) = y_0 e^{kt}$
Using wrong time units Mixing hours and days when finding $k$ Keep units consistent throughout
Taking ln incorrectly $\ln(y_2/y_1) \neq \ln y_2 / \ln y_1$ The log of a quotient is $\ln y_2 - \ln y_1$
Assuming decay means $y$ becomes 0 $e^{kt} \to 0$ as $t \to \infty$ but never equals 0 Exponential decay approaches but never reaches 0

Practice Problems

Level 1 Recognizing Exponential Change

Which of the following describes a quantity that changes at a rate proportional to its size? Select all that apply.

(A) A tank drains at a constant rate of 5 gallons per minute.

(B) A bacterial colony doubles every 3 hours.

(C) A car travels at a constant speed of 60 mph.

(D) The value of a savings account increases by 4% each year (compounded continuously).

(E) A radioactive sample loses half its mass every 100 years.

Thought Process

Ask yourself: "Does the rate of change depend on the current amount?"

  • (A) Drains at a constant rate—doesn't depend on how much water is left
  • (B) Doubling means the more you have, the more you gain
  • (C) Constant speed—doesn't depend on position
  • (D) 4% of a larger amount is more dollars
  • (E) Half of a larger sample is more mass lost
Show Answer

(B), (D), and (E) describe exponential change.

  • (A) No—constant rate means $\frac{dy}{dt} = -5$, not proportional to $y$
  • (B) Yes—doubling behavior is characteristic of $\frac{dy}{dt} = ky$ with $k > 0$
  • (C) No—constant speed means $\frac{dx}{dt} = 60$, not proportional to $x$
  • (D) Yes—earning 4% continuously means $\frac{dA}{dt} = 0.04A$
  • (E) Yes—half-life behavior is characteristic of $\frac{dy}{dt} = ky$ with $k < 0$
Level 2 Writing the Solution Formula

A population of insects grows at a rate proportional to its size. If there are 800 insects initially and the relative growth rate is 0.15 per day, write a formula for the population $P(t)$ after $t$ days. Then find the population after 1 week.

Thought Process

We're told:

  • Initial population: $P_0 = 800$
  • Relative growth rate: $k = 0.15$ per day

The model is $P(t) = P_0 e^{kt}$.

For 1 week, substitute $t = 7$ days.

Show Answer

The population model is: $$P(t) = 800e^{0.15t}$$

After 1 week ($t = 7$ days): $$P(7) = 800e^{0.15 \times 7} = 800e^{1.05} \approx 800 \times 2.858 \approx 2286 \text{ insects}$$

Level 3 Finding the Growth Constant from Data

A colony of bacteria has 1,200 cells at noon and 4,800 cells at 3:00 PM the same day. Assuming exponential growth:

(a) Find the relative growth rate $k$.

(b) Find a formula for the population $P(t)$, where $t$ is hours after noon.

(c) What was the population at 1:00 PM?

(d) When will the population reach 20,000 cells?

Thought Process

We have two data points:

  • At $t = 0$ (noon): $P(0) = 1200$
  • At $t = 3$ (3 PM): $P(3) = 4800$

(a) Use the formula $k = \frac{\ln(P_2/P_1)}{t_2 - t_1}$

(b) Plug $P_0$ and $k$ into $P(t) = P_0 e^{kt}$

(c) Substitute $t = 1$ into your formula

(d) Set $P(t) = 20000$ and solve for $t$

Show Answer

(a) Finding $k$: $$k = \frac{\ln(4800/1200)}{3 - 0} = \frac{\ln(4)}{3} = \frac{2\ln(2)}{3} \approx 0.4621 \text{ per hour}$$

(b) The population formula: $$P(t) = 1200e^{0.4621t}$$

(c) Population at 1:00 PM ($t = 1$): $$P(1) = 1200e^{0.4621 \times 1} \approx 1200 \times 1.587 \approx 1905 \text{ cells}$$

(d) When $P(t) = 20000$: $$1200e^{0.4621t} = 20000$$ $$e^{0.4621t} = \frac{20000}{1200} = \frac{50}{3}$$ $$0.4621t = \ln\left(\frac{50}{3}\right) \approx 2.813$$ $$t \approx \frac{2.813}{0.4621} \approx 6.09 \text{ hours}$$

The population reaches 20,000 about 6 hours after noon, around 6:05 PM.

Level 4 Working Backward from Limited Data

A research lab is studying a bacterial culture. They know the population was 500 cells at 8:00 AM and 32,000 cells at 2:00 PM. Unfortunately, they didn't record the initial measurement time.

(a) Find the relative growth rate.

(b) What was the population at 10:00 AM?

(c) When did the population first reach 1,000 cells?

(d) At what time would the culture have started from a single cell, according to this model?

Thought Process

Let's set $t = 0$ at 8:00 AM for convenience.

  • $P(0) = 500$
  • $P(6) = 32000$ (2 PM is 6 hours later)

(a) Use $k = \frac{\ln(P_2/P_1)}{t_2 - t_1}$

(b) Substitute $t = 2$ (10 AM)

(c) Solve $P(t) = 1000$ for $t$

(d) Solve $P(t) = 1$ for $t$ (this will give a negative $t$, meaning before 8 AM)

Show Answer

(a) Growth rate: $$k = \frac{\ln(32000/500)}{6} = \frac{\ln(64)}{6} = \frac{6\ln(2)}{6} = \ln(2) \approx 0.693 \text{ per hour}$$

The population doubles every hour!

(b) At 10:00 AM ($t = 2$): $$P(2) = 500e^{0.693 \times 2} = 500e^{1.386} \approx 500 \times 4 = 2000 \text{ cells}$$

(c) When $P(t) = 1000$: $$500e^{0.693t} = 1000$$ $$e^{0.693t} = 2$$ $$0.693t = \ln(2) = 0.693$$ $$t = 1 \text{ hour}$$

The population reached 1,000 cells at 9:00 AM.

(d) When $P(t) = 1$: $$500e^{0.693t} = 1$$ $$e^{0.693t} = \frac{1}{500}$$ $$0.693t = \ln(1/500) = -\ln(500) \approx -6.21$$ $$t \approx -8.97 \text{ hours}$$

According to the model, a single cell would have existed about 9 hours before 8 AM, or around 11:00 PM the previous night.

Level 5 Proving Uniqueness of the Solution

Prove that if $y(t)$ satisfies the differential equation $\frac{dy}{dt} = ky$ with initial condition $y(0) = y_0$, then $y(t) = y_0 e^{kt}$ is the only solution.

Hint: Consider the function $g(t) = y(t) \cdot e^{-kt}$ and show that $g'(t) = 0$.

Thought Process

The strategy is to show that any solution $y(t)$ must equal $y_0 e^{kt}$.

If we define $g(t) = y(t) e^{-kt}$, we can use the product rule to find $g'(t)$.

If $g'(t) = 0$ for all $t$, then $g(t)$ is constant, equal to $g(0) = y(0) e^0 = y_0$.

This forces $y(t) e^{-kt} = y_0$, so $y(t) = y_0 e^{kt}$.

Show Answer

Proof:

Let $y(t)$ be any solution to $\frac{dy}{dt} = ky$ with $y(0) = y_0$.

Define $g(t) = y(t) \cdot e^{-kt}$.

Using the product rule: $$g'(t) = y'(t) \cdot e^{-kt} + y(t) \cdot (-k)e^{-kt}$$ $$= y'(t) e^{-kt} - ky(t) e^{-kt}$$ $$= e^{-kt}\left[y'(t) - ky(t)\right]$$

Since $y$ satisfies $\frac{dy}{dt} = ky$, we have $y'(t) - ky(t) = 0$.

Therefore: $g'(t) = e^{-kt} \cdot 0 = 0$ for all $t$.

Since $g'(t) = 0$ everywhere, $g(t)$ is constant.

Evaluating at $t = 0$: $$g(0) = y(0) \cdot e^0 = y_0 \cdot 1 = y_0$$

So $g(t) = y_0$ for all $t$.

This means $y(t) e^{-kt} = y_0$, which gives: $$\boxed{y(t) = y_0 e^{kt}}$$

This is the unique solution. $\blacksquare$

CCI-Style Conceptual Questions

Conceptual Interpreting the Growth Constant

Two populations grow exponentially. Population A has $k = 0.05$ per year. Population B has $k = 0.10$ per year. Both start with 1000 individuals.

Which statement is TRUE?

(A) Population B is always exactly twice as large as Population A.

(B) Population B grows at twice the rate (individuals per year) as Population A.

(C) Population B's relative growth rate is twice that of Population A.

(D) After one year, Population B will be twice as large as Population A.

Thought Process
  • (A) Check: $P_A(t) = 1000e^{0.05t}$ and $P_B(t) = 1000e^{0.10t}$. Ratio is $e^{0.05t}$, not constant.
  • (B) Rate = $kP$. Population B's rate is $0.10 P_B$ while A's is $0.05 P_A$. Since $P_B > P_A$ (eventually), it's more than double.
  • (C) $k$ IS the relative growth rate, and $0.10 = 2 \times 0.05$.
  • (D) $P_A(1) = 1000e^{0.05} \approx 1051$, $P_B(1) = 1000e^{0.10} \approx 1105$. Not double.
Show Answer

(C) is TRUE.

The growth constant $k$ IS the relative growth rate. Since $k_B = 0.10 = 2 \times 0.05 = 2k_A$, Population B has twice the relative growth rate.

The other statements are false:

  • (A) The ratio $P_B/P_A = e^{0.05t}$ grows without bound
  • (B) Absolute growth rates depend on population size, which differs
  • (D) After 1 year: $P_A \approx 1051$, $P_B \approx 1105$, ratio ≈ 1.05

Mastery Checklist

Mental Model

The Snowball Effect:

Think of a snowball rolling downhill. The bigger it gets, the more snow it picks up with each rotation—and picking up more snow makes it even bigger, which lets it pick up even more snow. This self-reinforcing cycle is exponential growth.

For decay, imagine a leaky balloon: the more air inside, the harder it pushes out through the leak. As air escapes, there's less pressure, so it escapes more slowly. This self-limiting process is exponential decay.

Still Confused?

If you're struggling with specific parts of this skill, here's where to look:

Struggling with... Review this
Why the derivative of $e^{kt}$ has that form Derivative of Exponential Functions
Solving equations with $e$ and $\ln$ Natural Logarithm Properties
The concept of rate of change Rates of Change
Differential equations in general Return to §9.1 Introduction to Differential Equations

What This Unlocks

After mastering this skill, you're ready for:

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Chapter 6 Index Half-Life

Last updated: 2026-01-22